Forecast

Forecast

 

 

 

Variance

Variance

 

 

 

Month 5

Month 7

Movement

 

Service

£'000

£'000

£'000

Explanation of Main Movements

Director of Families, Children & Learning

(5)

(5)

0

 

Health, SEN & Disability Services

508

922

414

An increase in the overspend relating to disability residential agency placements.

Education & Skills

754

(467)

(1,221)

One-off Public Health contribution for developing Family Hubs.

Children's Safeguarding & Care

(889)

(1,781)

(892)

Reduced spending in accordance with spending controls and managing demand and cost pressures within children's placements.

Quality Assurance & Performance

5

0

(5)

Minor movement.

Total Families, Children & Learning

373

(1,331)

(1,704)

 

Adult Social Care

1,853

1,467

(386)

Achievement of financial recovery plan and temporary vacancies.

S75 Sussex Partnership Foundation Trust (SPFT)

235

361

126

Due to unit cost increases within care homes and community care.

Integrated Commissioning

(33)

(68)

(35)

Due to additional grant income.

Life Events

104

70

(34)

Temporary vacancies.

Public Health

0

(171)

(171)

Contracts previously funded by the General Fund now being resourced within Public Health grant.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(1,220)

(731)

489

Financial recovery measures achieved as above.

Total Health & Adult Social Care

939

928

(11)

 

Transport

1,382

1,659

277

£0.412m net increase in Parking Services overspend due to On-Street and Permit income shortfalls offset in part with staffing vacancies held and expenditure reviewed. Improvement in Traffic Management due to additional Highway Licensing income (£0.209m), partly offset by new Highway Licensing software to improve service delivery of £0.019m and other cost increases of  £0.010m. Reduction in underspend in Transport Projects & Engineering due to Road Safety Education costs exceeding funding by £0.089m and a correction to the BSIP (Bus Service Improvement Plan) Month 5 forecast which had reported an overspend of £0.126m when it should have been break-even, offset by a reduction to forecast for Lighting General Maintenance of £0.150m.

City Environmental Management

279

(539)

(818)

£0.804m improvement from release of reconciliation payment for windfall electricity incomes in the Waste PFI. £0.100m improvement in Bin Purchases following a Bin Amnesty as a result of expenditure controls. £0.147m use of the Environment Enforcement reserve to offset Environment Enforcement pressures from income shortfalls.

City Development & Regeneration

179

277

98

£0.190m further reduction in forecast planning income offset by delayed spend in Sustainability & International initiatives and held vacant International Officer post (£0.063m).

Culture, Tourism & Sport

245

8

(237)

£0.048m improvement in Volks Railway income and £0.086m improvement in Seafront rental incomes within Sport and Leisure.  Improvements in Brighton Centre Security and Technical Costs of £0.032m and income streams of £0.035m. Reduction in supplies & services for Tourism & Marketing of £0.015m.

Property

1,885

1,254

(631)

£0.178m forecast improvements in Technical Services incomes. £0.057m improvement in corporate energy costs. £0.305m improvement in Estates Management from identification of backdated rents and NNDR refunds. £0.100m improvement in corporate and education maintenance budgets through prioritisation of essential maintenance works.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(424)

0

424

Financial Recovery Measures now reflected in forecasts.

Total Economy, Environment & Culture

3,546

2,659

(887)

 

Housing General Fund

2,072

1,420

(652)

Reduction in costs of Homelessness (£0.494m), underspends on various rough sleeper service contracts (£0.079m), adaptations service (£0.050m), seaside homes repairs costs (£0.050m).

Libraries

0

(19)

(19)

Employee costs.

Communities, Equalities & Third Sector

(67)

(116)

(49)

Reduction of community grants programme 2023/24.

Safer Communities

(107)

(222)

(115)

DV/VAWG budget underspends.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(600)

(150)

450

Now included in the Housing forecast.

Total Housing, Neighbourhoods & Communities

1,298

913

(385)

 

Legal & Democratic Services

(107)

(88)

19

Review of expenditure and forecast indicating a £0.020m overspend in Democratic services.

Elections & Land Charges

173

223

50

Review of market in September showing a worsening position for local land searches.

Customer Modernisation & Data

(10)

(10)

0

 

Finance (Mobo)

0

23

23

Minor movement.

HR & Organisational Development

(5)

(5)

0

 

IT&D (Mobo)

(300)

(410)

(110)

Result of a further review of expenditure and vacancy controls at Month 7.

Welfare Revenue & Business Support

97

(40)

(137)

Result of a detailed review of service expenditure and vacancy controls at Month 7 as well as a reallocation of £0.179m from previous year.

Total Governance, People & Resources

(152)

(307)

(155)

 

Bulk Insurance Premia

0

200

200

Increased premium costs and settlement of claims.

Capital Financing Costs

(1,511)

(1,611)

(100)

Increased investment income.

Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions

(100)

(100)

0

 

Housing Benefit Subsidy

950

920

(30)

Slight improvement in pressure relating to benefit type for vulnerable tenants that is not fully subsidised.

Other Corporate Items

3,628

599

(3,029)

Confirmation of the £3.500m one-off income from the Housing Joint Venture due on completion of properties. £0.500m provision for school organisation costs, £0.147m increased bad debt provision and (£0.176m) released back pay provision.

Total Corporately-held Budgets

2,967

8

(2,959)

 

Total General Fund

8,971

2,870

6,101